Bitcoin (BTC) may be caught in a bear trap, but analysts believe a surge could be on the way. Bear traps occur when an asset’s price drops sharply, creating panic among investors who expect further declines. However, the price often rebounds, leaving those who sold short at a loss.
Crypto analyst Finish explains that the typical Bitcoin bull run lasts roughly nine months. The bear trap usually happens around the sixth month. We can see this pattern in previous cycles from 2011, 2013, 2017, 2021, and now the current one in 2024–2025.
According to Finish, the current bear trap is driven by macroeconomic factors and policies from U.S. President Donald Trump. Interest rate cuts, tariff wars, and Trump’s promise to make the U.S. a “crypto capital” have created market optimism. However, they have also caused short-term volatility.
Analyst Danny shares a similar view. He predicts Bitcoin’s biggest bull run will begin in April 2025. He believes Bitcoin could reach $300,000 by 2026. However, not all experts share this optimism. Ecoinometrics has noted a slower growth rate for Bitcoin in this cycle. Meanwhile, CryptoQuant’s Ki Young Ju suggests that the bull run may have already ended.
As Bitcoin’s price remains uncertain, investors continue to watch closely. They hope the current bear trap will lead to a powerful recovery.
