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Bitcoin Could Benefit from a Trump Win and U.S. Fiscal Dominance

Key Takeaways 

  • Hedge Against Fiscal Uncertainty: With the risk of U.S. fiscal dominance and government debt monetization, Bitcoin could emerge as a hedge against economic instability. 
  • Optimistic Outlook for Digital Assets: Standard Chartered anticipates a positive impact on digital assets if Trump wins. 
  • Ambitious Price Targets: The bank forecasts Bitcoin to hit $150,000 by year-end and $200,000 by 2025. Reflecting confidence in the cryptocurrency’s resilience amid evolving political and economic landscapes. 
Bitcoin with American flag background
Source: https://edition.cnn.com/2019/03/04/opinions/watching-donald-trump-hug-american-flag-se-cupp/index.html

According to a recent report from Standard Chartered, if Donald Trump were to win the election, it might actually be good news for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Here’s why: 

Supportive Regulatory Environment

The report suggests that under a Trump administration, there could be more favorable regulations for crypto. This means that the government might be more open to digital currencies like Bitcoin. 

Hedge Against Fiscal Dominance

With the risk of U.S. fiscal dominance and the government monetizing its debt, investors might turn to alternative assets. Bitcoin, in particular, could serve as a hedge against declining confidence in traditional financial markets. 

Positive Outlook for Digital Assets

Standard Chartered believes that a Trump victory could have a positive impact on digital assets overall. This could mean more opportunities for growth and investment in the crypto space. 

Price Predictions

The bank has set ambitious price targets for Bitcoin, forecasting it to reach $150,000 by the end of this year and $200,000 by the end of 2025. This indicates their confidence in the potential of cryptocurrencies under certain political and economic conditions. 

The report highlights the potential effects of U.S. fiscal policy on the Treasury curve. It also explores how these effects could influence investor behavior towards Bitcoin. 

Steeper Yield Curve

A Trump administration might lead to a steeper yield curve, which could drive investors towards assets like Bitcoin. 

Increase in Breakevens and Term Premium

These factors, combined with fiscal dominance, could further support the demand for cryptocurrencies as investors seek alternative stores of value. 

Standard Chartered also notes that Trump’s policies could impact the global demand for U.S. Treasury bonds. This could indirectly benefit Bitcoin, as investors look for alternatives to traditional investments. 

The report suggests that a Trump victory could create a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies. This would be both in terms of regulation and investor sentiment. This, coupled with concerns about U.S. fiscal policy, could drive increased interest and investment in digital assets like Bitcoin. 

May 9, 2024 at 9:00 am

Updated May 9, 2024 at 9:00 am


Remember, investing in cryptocurrencies involves risks, and it’s important to conduct thorough research and seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. (Please keep in mind that this post is solely for informative purposes and should not be construed as financial or investment advice.)


Cryptocurrency is a digital form of currency secured by cryptography, not controlled by governments or banks.

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Best practices for crypto investment include research, diversification, investing what you can afford to lose, and avoiding hype-driven investments.

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